{"id":106,"date":"2016-08-03T18:59:12","date_gmt":"2016-08-03T18:59:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/?page_id=106"},"modified":"2016-08-31T17:04:46","modified_gmt":"2016-08-31T21:04:46","slug":"inference","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/inference-module\/inference\/","title":{"rendered":"Inference"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"pl-106\"  class=\"panel-layout\" ><div id=\"pg-106-0\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-no-style\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-0-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-0-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"0\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><h4>This module will focus on deriving inferences in ecology. We will emphasize examples in which controversies exist, in part, because of the application of inferential tools and associated assumptions. As the first module of the course, we also will stress skills required to critically read the literature and effectively lead and participate in discussions.<\/h4>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-1\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-1\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-1-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-1-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"1\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><h3 style=\"text-align: left\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">Date<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-1-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-1-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"2\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><h3 style=\"text-align: left\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">Topic<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-1-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-1-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"3\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><h3 style=\"text-align: left\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">Readings, HW and things to think about<\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-2\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-2\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-2-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-2-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"4\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Thursday Aug 18<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-2-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-2-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"5\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Patterns and the Scientific Method<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">Why is there controversy in science?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-2-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-2-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"6\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p><strong>Reading for today<\/strong>:<a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\"> Platt 1964<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2016\/08\/Reading-the-literature-.pdf\">Reading the literature<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>HW for next time<\/strong>: Design a figure based on <a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2016\/08\/8000-inference-data.xlsx\">these data<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-3\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-3\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-3-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-3-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"7\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Tuesday\u00a0Aug 23<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-3-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-3-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"8\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Observational vs Experimental Data<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">Experimental design<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">Controversy: examples<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: left\">Discussion of the figures you made<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-3-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-3-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"9\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p><strong><strong>Reading:<\/strong><\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\">Hurlbert 1984<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-4\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-4\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-4-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-4-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"10\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Thursday\u00a0Aug 25<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-4-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-4-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"11\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Classic Statistics and P-values<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Stats refresher<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2016\/08\/Effectsizes.pptx\">Effect sizes<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-4-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-4-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"12\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p><strong><strong>Reading:\u00a0<\/strong><\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\"> Osenberg et al. 2002<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Cool thoughts:<\/em>\u00a0Effect size\u00a0exercise<\/p>\n<p><strong>HW:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/effect-size-hw\/\">Create an effect size measure for data you have collected or will collect<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-5\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-5\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-5-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-5-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"13\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Tuesday\u00a0Aug 30<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-5-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-5-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"14\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Simplicity amid Complexity<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2016\/08\/Fisheries-management.pptx\">Fisheries management<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Model complexity and estimation<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-5-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-5-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"15\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p><strong>Reading:<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\">\u00a0Ludwig and Walters 1985<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0Cool thoughts: <a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2016\/08\/Simpsons-paradox.pptx\">Simpson's paradox<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-6\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-6\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-6-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-6-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"16\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Thursday\u00a0Sept\u00a01<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-6-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-6-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"17\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Worm 2006 Controversy:\u00a0<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Discussion: How do different assumptions influence inference?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-6-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-6-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"18\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p><strong>Reading:<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\">\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\">Myers and Worm 2003<\/a>\u00a0+ additional optional reading<\/p>\n<p><em>Cool thoughts: Why most published research findings are false (<a href=\"http:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/readings\/\">Ioannidis<\/a>)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>HW:\u00a0<\/strong>What do you think the role of scientists should be in environmental policy (e.g., in conservation or sustainability); i.e., how will you handle a request to \"help us solve this problem.\" Come up with a real world example<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pg-106-7\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-has-style\" ><div class=\"panel-row-style panel-row-style-for-106-7\" ><div id=\"pgc-106-7-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-7-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"19\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>Tuesday\u00a0Sept 5<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-7-1\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-7-1-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"20\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p>The Role of Science in Conservation and Policy<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Vignettes for discussion:\n<ul>\n<li>Marine protected areas (considering alternatives)<\/li>\n<li>Declaration of funding (Greenpeace-Hilborn)<\/li>\n<li>Environmental bullies (tuna conservation)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=\"pgc-106-7-2\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-106-7-2-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_black-studio-tinymce widget_black_studio_tinymce panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"21\" ><div class=\"textwidget\"><p><strong>Reading: <\/strong><strong><br \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This module will focus on deriving inferences in ecology. We will emphasize examples in which controversies exist, in part, because of the application of inferential tools and associated assumptions. As the first module of the course, we also will stress skills required to critically read the literature and effectively lead and participate in discussions. Date<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"parent":43,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"full-width-page.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-106","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106"}],"version-history":[{"count":92,"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/106\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":422,"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/106\/revisions\/422"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/43"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.ecology.uga.edu\/ecol8000-fall2016\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}